AVAX → Avalanche About to Reverse!? Or Continue to the Upside?
Avalanche has been roaring through a nice curving bull channel until the top of the third push at $42.75! A nice sell signal formed on yesterdays daily candle, now we need to see how today closes to make our next move.
How do we trade this? 🤔
Avalanche had its third push up in the bull channel, a typical number of legs before the trend changes into a trading range or reverses. Given Bitcoins recent sell-off at a key resistance level, I believe it will drag AVAX down with it. AVAX has a sell signal on yesterdays candle and if today closes with a strong bear candle, we're likely looking at putting in some more lows. The RSI is also over 75.00 and below the moving average, all supporting at least a short-term bearish sentiment.
We need follow-through! Yesterdays signal is not enough justification to enter a short. It's best to wait for the price to fall to the 30EMA and see what happens there. If we get a bounce then another rejection to the downside, we'll have a head and shoulders reversal pattern on our hands at which time, a short will be justified.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: $26.00
🟥 Stop Loss: $32.00
✅ Take Profit: $14.00
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Bull Channel, Bias to Long!
2. Three Pushes up in Trend with Sell signal, Signal to Change Trend.
3. Gap to Second Push Support Line.
4. RSI at 75.00 and below Moving Average, Bias to Short
5. Wait for Short Confirmation at potential Right Shoulder.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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