ICP → Measured Move Complete! Pullback to $8.23 then $4.80!?

ICP executed a beautiful measured move in three legs; a breakout from the first to the second leg with an ascending triangle(per my last analysis), broke resistance, and landed on the measured move target. We're now witnessing a pullback but is that where the drop will end?


How do we trade this? 🤔

ICP - Measured Move Complete! Pullback to $8.23 then $4.80!?

We need to wait and see what happens to the price after it interacts with what was previous resistance, around the $8.23 price area. If we get strong support it's reasonable to consider a long scalp. I wouldn't plan a swing trade on this timeframe since the price action has been running hot; three pushes up with a 320% increase in price from bottom to top, RSI went up to 91 and is still at 68.00, now below the moving average, etc.

These data do not support longing, at least on this timeframe. We also do not want to jump into a short right away, the strong sell signal and confirmation candles need to close before we can make such a move. Look for a break below the Resistance Zone and a re-test of the level that fails. A strong bear bar closing on its low at the $7.95 area is enough justification to enter a short. It's reasonable to take 1:1 Risk/Reward level profits around $7.20 and swing the rest to 1:3 or until you see a buy signal.

Until we see the bear confirmation, we ought to remain on the sidelines or zoom into the 5m or 15m timeframes.


💡 Trade Ideas 💡

Short Entry: $7.95
🟥 Stop Loss: $8.65
✅ Take Profit: $6.55
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2


🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑

1. Breakout of Ascending Triangle, Measured Move Up!
2. Measured Move Target Hit, Pullback to Resistance Zone.
3. Watch for Support at Resistance Level $8.23.
4. RSI at 68.00 below Moving Average, Supports Pullback to Resistance Zone.
5. Watch Bitcoin near the $46,000 level, looking for a Trend Change.


💰 Trading Tip 💰
Bear flags in the proper context, provide over a 60% probability that a trend will continue. This provides justification to enter a short trade.


⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!


Find me at TradingView.com/u/TraderEngineering/


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